2024 Year in Review and Predictions for 2025

This webinar was presented live on December 18, 2024, and is now available on-demand.

From the launch of Google's AI Overviews and OpenAI's SearchGPT to multiple core updates and new features in traditional search results, this year has been a whirlwind of change. These developments may have directly impacted your efforts—or left you wondering what they mean for the future. How should SEO professionals reflect on 2024, and what will this year's evolutions mean for strategies in 2025?

Join us for an insightful webinar as we recap the key updates and shifts that shaped search in 2024, explore predictions for the 2025 search landscape, and share actionable strategies to help you prepare for what's next.

What You'll Learn:

  • The major events that defined SEO in 2024 and their impact.
  • Key takeaways from this year's seismic shifts in search.
  • Predictions for 2025 and how to adapt your SEO strategy to stay ahead.

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Black Friday and Cyber Monday Reveal How AI Overviews Could Shape Search in 2025: First Large-Scale Analysis of a Major Holiday Event Shows Dramatic Shifts

Jim
Jim
M Posted 1 year 3 months ago
t 9 min read

Black Friday/Cyber Monday 2024 marks a pivotal moment in search evolution — the first major shopping event where we could observe AI Overview behavior at scale outside of a lab environment. The BrightEdge Generative Parser™ tracked how AI adapted to peak shopping behavior, revealing some characteristics that could shape how SEO strategies should adapt in 2025 and beyond. They revealed that AI Overviews changed how they appear for queries depending on the intent, and we saw that citations became more focused on niche expertise. I’d like to discuss what the implications these changes have for the coming year and how brands will need to prepare.

Beyond Simple Growth: AI Adapts to Consumer Behaviors

While AI Overviews maintained a steady presence throughout most of the period, we observed a notable spike in their activity specifically around shopping-related queries during the Black Friday and Cyber Monday period, before returning to baseline levels. What's particularly interesting is how these Overviews adapted their behavior to serve increasingly sophisticated shopping queries related to specific products such as specific TV (Sony Smart 55” Bravia) or printer models (Epson ET 15000).

As BrightEdge Generative Parser™ monitored shopping keywords over the holiday weekend, it showed that AI Overviews didn't just grow in number; they grew in complexity. Average Overview height increased from 941px to 953px as presentations became richer and more detailed.

 

But more importantly, we observed a fundamental shift in how AI approached different query types.

 

The Evolution of Shopping Experience

Over the course of the holiday weekend, we observed a shift in the way AI Overviews present information. They became more elaborate and shoppable, particularly for specific product queries such as an “Epson et 15000” printer. These product viewers offer multiple details about the product such as an overview, pros and cons and where to get the best deal on them.

- Product viewer features surged 52.6%

In addition, we saw product displays for groups become more shoppable and tiled similar to what a regular product grid in organic results looks like. These allow shoppers to view a lot of products at once, and get pertinent details such as delivery options and sale prices. This is an ideal scenario for a user who is browsing a lot of styles or really hunting for the best deal possible:

- Grouped product displays increased 8.2%

These changes signaled something crucial: AI was matching presentation format to user intent in ways that made them more shoppable.

These results came as the typical un-ordered lists we’ve seen in AI Overviews decreased by 9%, suggesting Google is favoring a more comprehensive view for specific products and more grouping for broader queries

This unordered list format decreased by 9% over the holiday weekend:

The Rise of Specialized Authority

Perhaps the most telling transformation was in how AI Overviews selected their citations. Technical review sites like Tom’s Guide saw a 71.4% surge in the number of citations during Black Friday. . Consumer advocacy sites like Consumer Reports showed similar patterns, with a 23.9% jump in the numbe of citations on Black Friday.

This isn't just about citing different sources — it's about AI becoming more discerning in which sources it trusts for different query types. When AI is focusing more on specific product searches as opposed to generic topics, it increasingly favored specialized review sites. For consumer goods, it prioritized trusted consumer advocacy sources.

Query Patterns Reveal Future Trends

As we analyzed patterns across different query categories, another pattern was clear: AI Overviews didn’t just change how they present information — they addressed the query intent more specifically.

High-Consideration Products Evolution

The most dramatic transformations occurred in categories where users typically spend significant time researching before purchasing. Here, we saw a 52% increase in detailed product overviews that include modules such as the pros and cons, product visuals and stores that carry the product (note we began observing these faceted formats in July, but the holiday weekend was a significant expansion). When users searched for "samsung galaxy s22 ultra" or "epson 8550", AI Overviews created comprehensive comparison environments over the holiday weekend. Similarly, home appliance queries like "masticating juicer" or "convection oven" saw AIO’s with detailed breakdowns with facets to help inform purchase decisions.



Specific product searches generated AI Overviews that helped users comparative shop faster

 

Keyword: Samsung Galaxy S22         Keyword: Epson ET 8550

 

Appliance queries receive facets that help shoppers sort by features that matter most to them:

Keyword: Masticating Juicers      Keyword: Small Convection Oven

Style-Dependent Categories Break New Ground

Fashion and home décor queries revealed AI's growing sophistication in handling visual intent. Searches for items like "cardigan sweaters" triggered a product viewer format optimized for style comparison.

In addition, category-level keywords like “winter coats” showed group carousel formats that made these queries more shoppable while maintaining their style context.

Strategic Implications for 2025

These patterns point to three critical considerations that will shape search success in 2025:

  1. Content Structure Must be Adaptable to New Formats

As these format presentations rise or change to adapt conditions, marketers need to be ready. Your content needs to support multiple presentation formats and be structured for AI interpretation. This isn't just about moving away from lists — it's about embracing formats that support AI's increasingly sophisticated understanding of user intent.

  1. Authority Signals will be more Sophisticated

The dramatic increase in specialized source citations tells us something crucial about the future of search authority. Technical review sites saw a 65.3% increase in citations through November 30, while consumer advocacy citations held steady at 15.2% above baseline. This isn't a temporary shift — it's a sign that AI continues to get better at identifying and prioritizing genuine expertise.

  1. Real-Time Monitoring Is Essential

The speed at which AI Overviews adapted to changing user behavior during Black Friday/Cyber Monday reveals how critical real-time monitoring has become. Different product categories showed distinct patterns of adaptation, and these changes happened in real-time as shopping behavior evolved.

Preparing for Success

To succeed in this evolving landscape, marketers need to:

  1. Optimize for AI Understanding: Use BrightEdge Copilot to generate comprehensive content briefs that address all aspects of your products AI might reference.
  1. Establish Clear Authority: Leverage Autopilot to connect product content and demonstrate specialized expertise during peak times.
  1. Monitor and Adapt: Employ Instant to track real-time AI changes and citations, ensuring you can adapt during critical shopping periods.

This first large-scale observation of AI Overview behavior in the wild reveals that we're entering a new era of search — one where success depends on understanding and adapting to AI's increasingly sophisticated understanding of user intent!

Want to learn how to prepare your content for AI Overviews in 2025? Check out our Ultimate Guide to AI Overviews here!

New Report from BrightEdge Reveals Surge in AI Search Engines, Signaling a New Era in Online Information Discovery

New Report from BrightEdge Reveals Surge in AI Search Engines, Signaling a New Era in Online Information Discovery

New Report from BrightEdge Reveals Surge in AI Search Engines, Signaling a New Era in Online Information Discovery

BrightEdge Generative Parser™ found OpenAI's search engine referral growth jumped 44% month-over-month, while Perplexity skyrocketed 71%.

SAN MATEO, CA (Dec. 16, 2024) –– BrightEdge, the global leader in AI-driven organic search, content, and digital marketing automation, today released a new report on the current state of AI-driven search.

"This is a moment of inevitability in search; we've long anticipated the rise of AI, and now it's reshaping the search landscape before our eyes," said Jim Yu, CEO and co-founder of BrightEdge. "The data clearly shows that the stakes have never been higher. Newer entrants like ChatGPT search and Perplexity are gaining ground, while Google’s AI Overviews are getting smarter. Marketers and brands need to understand how their companies are exposed to these AI-powered search engines. It’s not just a matter of curiosity—it’s one of survival.”

Key findings from BrightEdge’s report include:

Emerging AI-first search engines are challenging the status quo

BrightEdge's latest findings reveal a surge in the popularity of AI-first search engines.

  • In November alone, OpenAI’s search engine saw a remarkable 44% month-over-month growth in referrals, while Perplexity experienced a 71% increase. This surge highlights a growing user appetite for search experiences powered by sophisticated AI algorithms.
  • Notably, ChatGPT search, which has been steadily gaining ground since the launch of SearchGPT in August, now commands a search usage 6 times larger than Perplexity in terms of referral clicks.
  • This rapid ascent puts ChatGPT on a trajectory to potentially capture a 1% market share in 2025, a milestone that translates to a staggering $1.2 billion+ in revenue according to BrightEdge's data.

But Google’s reign continues

BrightEdge is seeing Google drastically advance their search capabilities—and that was verified when Google recently announced Gemini 2.0.

  • Google AI Overviews (AIOs) are now reaching over 1 billion users and expanding into 100 new countries as Google’s engine becomes more sophisticated each day.
  • Google still holds 92.4% of the search market share, meaning that new entrants will need to coexist with and differentiate themselves from Google, rather than aiming to overtake the search giant.
  • BrightEdge has tracked Google’s knowledge graph, watching the engine intelligently develop heuristics to emulate human reasoning. Google has made impressive advancements in determining which sources to trust and when to cite them in conversational formats, leading to more relevant responses and a helpful search experience.
  • This evolution can be directly seen in how it processes citations. For example, Google can cite content within a video even if there isn’t a transcript. In the case of the query “How to clean an electric kettle,” the AI Overview cites a YouTube video from 2017, and it even loads a link that takes the user to the exact moment in the video that it used to cite the answer. This not only ensures the user can quickly get to the pertinent section of the video, but it demonstrates how AI can use multiple content formats to generate an answer.
  • Google is embracing the multimodal nature of Gemini to power AIOs by leveraging YouTube videos without requiring full transcripts, allowing for precise, contextual references to video content. Gemini-powered AIOs tap into multimodal capabilities with written, video and audio content from YouTube to inform queries.

AIOs are getting more stable and present as Google is getting more confident in its AI engine’s abilities

After nearly a year of volatility in AIOs, day-to-day fluctuations for specific keywords decreased by 4.22%, indicating predictable and stable AIO behavior. This increase in stability suggests that Google has refined its criteria for when and how to present AIOs, making it easier for marketers to plan and optimize their content strategies.

  • Overall AIO presence increased from 29% at the start of November to 33% by month’s end, indicating significant stabilization.
  • AIO presence in e-commerce spiked to 40% in November before stabilizing mid-month as AIOs facilitated seamless user shopping experiences during Cyber Weekend.
  • Travel-based content in AIOs grew 700% in October, before the major holiday travel season, then stabilized and maintained elevated levels of usage by mid-November.

AIOs shift focus to expert sources and authoritative content, a major win for B2B tech and healthcare sectors

Google took on the challenge to provide more technical responses with a dramatic 70% shift towards advanced content from established institutions and organizations. This is a major win for the healthcare and B2B technology industries, both of which have ample opportunities to showcase their in-depth and technical expertise to further establish their credibility as authoritative sources for AIOs.

  • B2B technology was the most transformed sector with nearly 32% growth in AIO presence in November due to its highly technical and query-based content.
  • Keywords related to security (+55%), data (+40%), development/DevOps (+42%), and infrastructure (+38%) rose to the top ranks of AIOs.
  • Healthcare content saw an uptick of 15% in AIO citations due to the expert and authoritative nature of its sources, namely medical clinics and research institutions.

The upcoming year presents huge opportunities for marketers and brands to refine their content strategies and capitalize on AI-powered search. With comprehensive and insightful campaign analytics from BrightEdge, marketers can increase their AIO presence and attract high-quality referrals and web traffic. BrightEdge equips its customers with AI-powered tools to optimize their content and plan, track and monitor their presence in AIOs. Learn more in The Ultimate Guide to AI Overviews.

About BrightEdge

BrightEdge, the global Enterprise SEO, AI, and content performance leader, empowers digital marketers to transform online opportunities into tangible business results. Its all-in-one platform provides organizations with crucial market insights and intelligent AI-driven solutions. The BrightEdge platform contains the industry's most unique and extensive data set that connects key search, social, content, and digital media data points. Its deep-learning engine, DataMind, has been powering SEO AI-driven solutions since 2015, allowing marketers to benefit from high-fidelity data-led insights and automated action. Over 57% of Fortune 100 companies and nine of the top ten international agencies trust BrightEdge to help them provide the best performance by becoming an integral part of the digital experience.

Contact

LaunchSquad for BrightEdge

BrightEdge@launchsquad.com

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